Manchester City U21 4-1 West Ham United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
49%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
33%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
50%
-22.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
49%
Away Win
28%
+20.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.6pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+121% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City U21
4-1
AWAY West Ham United U21
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
571 Passes 406
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester City U21 vs West Ham United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U21 ran out comfortable winners over West Ham United U21 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was West Ham United U21 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Manchester City U21 had 58% of the ball to West Ham United U21's 42%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Manchester City U21 vs West Ham United U21?

Manchester City U21 4-1 West Ham United U21 in the INGPL2 on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City U21 vs West Ham United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Ham United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Manchester City U21 27%, draw 24%, West Ham United U21 49%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (West Ham United U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (West Ham United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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