Aston Villa U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa U21 v Newcastle United U21 — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Aston Villa U21 2-3 Newcastle United U21 — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle United U21 edged past Aston Villa U21 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Aston Villa U21 carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 63% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 37%, shots finished 13-6.
What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Newcastle United U21?
Aston Villa U21 2-3 Newcastle United U21 in the INGPL2 on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Newcastle United U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 57%, draw 21%, Newcastle United U21 22%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa U21) went the other way.