Fujieda MYFC 1-1 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 27% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.28/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.10
+16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
243 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.7 Crosses 20.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Iwaki
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Iwaki Iwaki 3-0 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
12.11.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 2-4 HT 0-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
18.02.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 2-3 HT 0-3 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
27.08.2022 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-3 HT 0-2 Iwaki Iwaki JAP3
15.05.2022 Iwaki Iwaki 2-2 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
1-1
AWAY Iwaki
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
155 Passes 176
58% Pass Accuracy 62%
18 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC and Iwaki shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Iwaki at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 47% of the ball to Iwaki's 53%, shots finished 9-24.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Iwaki led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 2.80 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs Iwaki?

Fujieda MYFC 1-1 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 33%, draw 26%, Iwaki 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Iwaki), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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