Iwaki 3-0 Fujieda MYFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 30% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 28%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +10%
1.03/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.65
-31% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 2-4 HT 0-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
18.02.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 2-3 HT 0-3 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
27.08.2022 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-3 HT 0-2 Iwaki Iwaki JAP3
15.05.2022 Iwaki Iwaki 2-2 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
3-0
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Fujieda MYFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki cruised past Fujieda MYFC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Iwaki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Iwaki had 48% of the ball to Fujieda MYFC's 52%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Iwaki had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Iwaki and 1.75 for Fujieda MYFC.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Fujieda MYFC?

Iwaki 3-0 Fujieda MYFC in the Japan - J2 League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Fujieda MYFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 42%, draw 26%, Fujieda MYFC 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iwaki), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iwaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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