JEF United 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 5 Oct 2024

JEF United
1-0 HT 1-0
ThespaKusatsu Gunma
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

JEF United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JEF United v ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
2.81/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.02
+42% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.0 Crosses 23.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

JEF United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
258 Passes 472
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.03.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-3 HT 0-2 JEF United JEF United JAP2
05.11.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-2 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
05.03.2023 JEF United JEF United 2-2 HT 1-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
07.08.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-3 HT 0-2 JEF United JEF United JAP2
20.03.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
25.09.2021 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2

JEF United 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
1-0
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
293 Passes 363
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH JEF United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United edged past ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, JEF United had 46% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 54%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for JEF United and 0.83 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of JEF United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

JEF United 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J2 League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split JEF United 57%, draw 23%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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