Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-2 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
25.05.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
07.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
25.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
07.07.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-0 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
04.05.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
0-0
AWAY FK Panevezys
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris and FK Panevezys played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 46% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 54%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.17 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys?

Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 43%, draw 28%, FK Panevezys 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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