Banga Gargzdai 0-3 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+9.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.28
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 3-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
26.05.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-3 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
06.04.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
16.09.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
09.07.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
03.05.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Dainava Alytus cruised past Banga Gargzdai 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day FK Dainava Alytus made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.50 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Banga Gargzdai 0-3 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Dainava Alytus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 34%, draw 26%, FK Dainava Alytus 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Dainava Alytus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Dainava Alytus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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