Follo 2-1 Strommen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

Follo
2-1 HT 2-0
Strommen
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2024

Follo vs Strommen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.56
No
54%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 26% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.2pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Follo v Strommen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Follo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Strommen EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.97/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.51
+10% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.4

Follo vs Strommen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Follo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Strommen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Strommen Strommen 2-0 HT 1-0 Follo Follo NOR3
10.02.2024 Strommen Strommen 2-1 Follo Follo HAZ
24.08.2015 Follo Follo 1-1 HT 0-0 Strommen Strommen NOR1
21.06.2015 Strommen Strommen 1-2 HT 1-2 Follo Follo NOR1
20.10.2013 Follo Follo 3-0 HT 3-0 Strommen Strommen NOR1
30.06.2013 Strommen Strommen 1-0 HT 0-0 Follo Follo NOR1

Follo 2-1 Strommen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Follo
2-1
AWAY Strommen
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Follo vs Strommen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Follo nicked a narrow win over Strommen 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Follo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Follo had 56% of the ball to Strommen's 44%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Strommen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Follo and 1.17 for Strommen.

What was the final score of Follo vs Strommen?

Follo 2-1 Strommen in the Norway - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Follo vs Strommen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Follo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Follo 44%, draw 23%, Strommen 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Follo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Follo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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