Junkeren 3-1 Eidsvold Turn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
3.17
Over 2.5
52%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.41
No
55%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
8.01
2-3 Goals
36%
2.31
4-5 Goals
24%
2.39
6+ Goals
12%
4.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 8.01 — our 28% vs market 8.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+2.8pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
58%
Away Win
61%
-3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
28%
+20.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
72%
-20.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
67%
-21.6pp
55%
BTTS No
33%
+21.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junkeren EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Eidsvold Turn EU Bookmakers 66%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.81/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.31
-31% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
314 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junkeren
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Eidsvold Turn
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
21.04.2024 Eidsvold Turn Eidsvold Turn 4-2 HT 1-1 Junkeren Junkeren NOR3
POST-MATCH Junkeren vs Eidsvold Turn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junkeren got the better of Eidsvold Turn 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Eidsvold Turn carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Junkeren vs Eidsvold Turn?

Junkeren 3-1 Eidsvold Turn in the Norway - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junkeren vs Eidsvold Turn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eidsvold Turn win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Junkeren 22%, draw 20%, Eidsvold Turn 58%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Eidsvold Turn), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eidsvold Turn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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