Tromsdalen 4-3 Skeid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
13%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.9pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsdalen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Skeid EU Bookmakers 32%
+29% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.36/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.75
+32% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +138%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
295 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsdalen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Skeid
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Skeid Skeid 2-2 HT 1-2 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR3
08.11.2020 Skeid Skeid 1-0 HT 0-0 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR3
13.09.2020 Skeid Skeid 3-2 HT 1-0 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR3
11.08.2019 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 1-0 HT 0-0 Skeid Skeid NOR1
28.04.2019 Skeid Skeid 3-0 HT 1-0 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR1
23.08.2009 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 3-3 HT 2-2 Skeid Skeid NOR1
POST-MATCH Tromsdalen vs Skeid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsdalen squeezed past Skeid 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tromsdalen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skeid led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tromsdalen and 2.00 for Skeid.

What was the final score of Tromsdalen vs Skeid?

Tromsdalen 4-3 Skeid in the Norway - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsdalen vs Skeid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsdalen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tromsdalen 47%, draw 24%, Skeid 29%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsdalen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tromsdalen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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