05/10/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-2
Floya vs Fyllingsdalen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over Pick
64%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
35%
4-5
25%
6+
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
82%
23%
Draw
10%
16%
Away Win
7%
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
45%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Floya v Fyllingsdalen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Floya
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fyllingsdalen
EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% /
-8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
3.57/0.91
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.96/4.36
+6%
/
+15%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-10%
/
-25%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
3
418 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
276 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.1
Yellow Cards
1.7
Floya vs Fyllingsdalen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Floya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Fyllingsdalen
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
65%
Ball Possession
35%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
10
Corners
2
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Floya vs Fyllingsdalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Floya nicked a narrow win over Fyllingsdalen 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Floya as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Floya vs Fyllingsdalen?
Floya 1-0 Fyllingsdalen in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Floya vs Fyllingsdalen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Floya win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Floya 62%, draw 23%, Fyllingsdalen 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floya) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Floya)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
5 Oct 2024