Fram Larvik 3-2 Madla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
3.59
Over Pick
66%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
37%
4-5
29%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-8.5pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Larvik EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Madla EU Bookmakers 25%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.28/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.02
+27% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Fram Larvik vs Madla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Larvik squeezed past Madla 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fram Larvik as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Fram Larvik vs Madla?

Fram Larvik 3-2 Madla in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Larvik vs Madla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Larvik win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fram Larvik 49%, draw 26%, Madla 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Larvik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fram Larvik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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