Kristiansund II 1-2 Funnefoss / Vormsund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.25
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
32%
3.68
Over Pick
68%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
36%
4-5
31%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
76%
-10.8pp
14%
Draw
15%
-0.3pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.0pp
32%
Under 2.5
24%
+8.8pp
68%
Over 2.5
76%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristiansund II EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Funnefoss / Vormsund EU Bookmakers 12%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
2.91/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.99
-7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
467 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kristiansund II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Funnefoss / Vormsund
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
22.04.2024 Funnefoss / Vormsund Funnefoss / Vormsund 2-2 Kristiansund II Kristiansund II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kristiansund II
1-2
AWAY Funnefoss / Vormsund
76% Ball Possession 24%
24 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kristiansund II vs Funnefoss / Vormsund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Funnefoss / Vormsund squeezed past Kristiansund II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Kristiansund II carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kristiansund II had 76% of the ball to Funnefoss / Vormsund's 24%, shots finished 24-6.

What was the final score of Kristiansund II vs Funnefoss / Vormsund?

Kristiansund II 1-2 Funnefoss / Vormsund in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristiansund II vs Funnefoss / Vormsund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kristiansund II win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kristiansund II 65%, draw 14%, Funnefoss / Vormsund 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kristiansund II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kristiansund II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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