05/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
Lilleström II vs Trygg/Lade Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
37%
4-5
29%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Away Win
Over 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
20%
Draw
17%
52%
Away Win
66%
42%
Under 2.5
22%
58%
Over 2.5
78%
53%
BTTS Yes
70%
47%
BTTS No
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lilleström II v Trygg/Lade — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lilleström II
EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY
Trygg/Lade
EU Bookmakers 71%
+8% /
+8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-7% /
-7%
1.73/2.80
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.60/2.10
+16%
/
-13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+29%
/
-42%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
251 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
432 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.1
Yellow Cards
1.3
Lilleström II vs Trygg/Lade Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Lilleström II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
5.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Lilleström II vs Trygg/Lade
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lilleström II and Trygg/Lade shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Trygg/Lade at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Lilleström II vs Trygg/Lade?
Lilleström II 1-1 Trygg/Lade in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lilleström II vs Trygg/Lade?
Before kick-off our model rated an Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lilleström II 28%, draw 20%, Trygg/Lade 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trygg/Lade), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Trygg/Lade)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
5 Oct 2024