Nordstrand 1-0 Oppsal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.3
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.96
Over
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
17%
7.15
2-3
36%
2.2
4-5
31%
2.45
6+
16%
4.72
Value flag · 0-1 at 7.15 — our 17% vs market 9.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Nordstrand win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-9.9pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.6pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nordstrand EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Oppsal EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
2.82/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.52
-10% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +24%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
448 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nordstrand
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Oppsal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.09.2023 Oppsal Oppsal 1-0 HT 1-0 Nordstrand Nordstrand NOR4
10.06.2023 Nordstrand Nordstrand 4-2 HT 3-0 Oppsal Oppsal NOR4
03.09.2022 Nordstrand Nordstrand 2-1 HT 1-0 Oppsal Oppsal NOR4
02.07.2022 Oppsal Oppsal 4-0 HT 0-0 Nordstrand Nordstrand NOR4
POST-MATCH Nordstrand vs Oppsal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nordstrand squeezed past Oppsal 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nordstrand as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nordstrand and 2.00 for Oppsal.

What was the final score of Nordstrand vs Oppsal?

Nordstrand 1-0 Oppsal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nordstrand vs Oppsal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nordstrand win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Nordstrand 62%, draw 15%, Oppsal 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nordstrand), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nordstrand) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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