05/10/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-1
Stabaek II vs Nardo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
36%
4-5
33%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Nardo win — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
16%
Draw
16%
65%
Away Win
70%
35%
Under 2.5
22%
65%
Over 2.5
78%
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
45%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stabaek II v Nardo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Stabaek II
EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY
Nardo
EU Bookmakers 75%
+49% /
+49%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-19% /
-23%
3.50/1.84
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.31/0.93
+138%
/
+34%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-18%
/
+33%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
13
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
5
226 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
440 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
1.4
Stabaek II vs Nardo Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Stabaek II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Nardo
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
56%
Ball Possession
44%
9
Total Shots
13
1
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Stabaek II vs Nardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Nardo cruised past Stabaek II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nardo as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.
What was the final score of Stabaek II vs Nardo?
Stabaek II 0-3 Nardo in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stabaek II vs Nardo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Stabaek II 19%, draw 16%, Nardo 65%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nardo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Nardo)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
5 Oct 2024