Verdal vs Tiller Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Verdal v Tiller — Team-Based Signals
Verdal vs Tiller Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-5
HT 0-2
Tiller
NOR4
0-0
HT 0-0
Verdal
NOR4
Tiller saw off Verdal 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Verdal at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tiller led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Verdal and 2.50 for Tiller.
What was the final score of Verdal vs Tiller?
Verdal 1-3 Tiller in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Verdal vs Tiller?
Before kick-off our model rated a Verdal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Verdal 43%, draw 24%, Tiller 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Verdal) went the other way.