Moreirense 1-0 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

Moreirense
1-0 HT 0-0
Santa Clara
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Moreirense vs Santa Clara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.38
Over 2.5
48%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
1.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
7.24
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.03
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.65
X/1
11%
4.86
X/2
15%
5.36
X/X
15%
3.2
2/1
13%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.61
2/X
6%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
69%
-16.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
31%
+16.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
39%
+11.9pp
49%
BTTS No
61%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moreirense v Santa Clara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.26/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.22
-14% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.8 Crosses 16.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Moreirense vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.93 xG 1.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
252 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.01.2022 Moreirense Moreirense 0-2 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
15.08.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-2 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
21.04.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
12.01.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POK
29.12.2020 Moreirense Moreirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
23.02.2020 Moreirense Moreirense 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR

Moreirense 1-0 Santa Clara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
1-0
AWAY Santa Clara
0.46 xG 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
355 Passes 328
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Moreirense vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense edged past Santa Clara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Moreirense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Moreirense had 51% of the ball to Santa Clara's 49%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.46 to 1.35 — on chances, Santa Clara could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Moreirense and 1.17 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Santa Clara?

Moreirense 1-0 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 38%, draw 30%, Santa Clara 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreirense), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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