Sporting CP 2-0 Casa Pia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

Sporting CP
2-0 HT 1-0
Casa Pia
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.16
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
11%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.27
2-3 Goals
41%
2.1
4-5 Goals
26%
2.54
6+ Goals
13%
5.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.24
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
21%
3.42
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
6%
11.5
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
4%
30.5
2/X
4%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
82%
-9.6pp
17%
Draw
13%
+3.8pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+5.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting CP v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 8%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.42/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.39
+8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -8%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
492 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
23.8 Crosses 8.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Sporting CP vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Casa Pia
3.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
2.81 xG 0.68
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
564 Passes 238
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.01.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 8-0 HT 5-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
18.08.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
09.04.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 3-4 HT 2-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
22.10.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 0-1 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
22.12.2021 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-2 HT 1-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POK

Sporting CP 2-0 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
2-0
AWAY Casa Pia
2.64 xG 0.60
81% Ball Possession 19%
25 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
723 Passes 111
92% Pass Accuracy 62%
39 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Casa Pia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP beat Casa Pia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Sporting CP had 81% of the ball to Casa Pia's 19%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 2.64 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.80 goals for Sporting CP and 1.20 for Casa Pia.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Casa Pia?

Sporting CP 2-0 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Casa Pia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 72%, draw 17%, Casa Pia 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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