Bucaspor 1928 2-1 Giresunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
27%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-15.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
12%
+15.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Giresunspor EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.35/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-21% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +78%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
523 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucaspor 1928
2-1
AWAY Giresunspor
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bucaspor 1928 vs Giresunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucaspor 1928 edged past Giresunspor 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bucaspor 1928 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bucaspor 1928 had 65% of the ball to Giresunspor's 35%, shots finished 10-3.

What was the final score of Bucaspor 1928 vs Giresunspor?

Bucaspor 1928 2-1 Giresunspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucaspor 1928 vs Giresunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bucaspor 1928 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bucaspor 1928 52%, draw 21%, Giresunspor 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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