Nazilli Belediyespor 2-1 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.95
No
63%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+6.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-7.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-10.2pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
20.11.2022 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye S2-B
19.10.2022 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 2-1 HT 0-1 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor
2-1
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nazilli Belediyespor vs Arnavutköy Belediye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nazilli Belediyespor squeezed past Arnavutköy Belediye 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arnavutköy Belediye at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nazilli Belediyespor had 43% of the ball to Arnavutköy Belediye's 57%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nazilli Belediyespor had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nazilli Belediyespor and 1.00 for Arnavutköy Belediye.

What was the final score of Nazilli Belediyespor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Nazilli Belediyespor 2-1 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nazilli Belediyespor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arnavutköy Belediye win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nazilli Belediyespor 23%, draw 23%, Arnavutköy Belediye 54%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T2L-K More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
5 Oct 2024
15:00 Van Spor FK vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor Analysis →
16:00 Kırklarelispor vs Afyonspor Analysis →
16:00 Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü vs Erbaaspor Analysis →
19:00 Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Serik Belediyespor Analysis →
19:00 Bucaspor 1928 vs Giresunspor Analysis →