Van Spor FK 0-1 68 Aksaray Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.8pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.7pp
33%
Away Win
21%
+11.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY 68 Aksaray Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.32/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Van Spor FK vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

68 Aksaray Belediyespor squeezed past Van Spor FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Van Spor FK at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Van Spor FK vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor?

Van Spor FK 0-1 68 Aksaray Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Van Spor FK vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Van Spor FK 47%, draw 21%, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Van Spor FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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