Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-2 Serik Belediyespor — Result, Stats & Model Review (Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 5 Oct 2024)

Karacabey Belediye Spor

1-2 HT 1-1

Serik Belediyespor

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗

Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup – 2024/2025

Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Serik Belediyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

40%

2.46

Draw

28%

3.11

Away

32%

2.72

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52%

1.6

Over 2.5

48%

2.21

Both Teams to Score

Yes

48%

1.95

52%

1.76

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

31%

2-3 Goals

39%

4-5 Goals

21%

6+ Goals

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

17%

1/2

1/X

X/1

12%

X/2

12%

X/X

16%

2/1

10%

2/2

13%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

40%

Home Win

37%

+2.3pp

28%

Draw

29%

-1.1pp

32%

Away Win

34%

-1.3pp

52%

Under 2.5

59%

-6.3pp

48%

Over 2.5

41%

+6.3pp

48%

BTTS Yes

47%

+1.2pp

52%

BTTS No

53%

-1.2pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karacabey Belediye Spor v Serik Belediyespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 41%

Head to Head

AWAY Serik Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 37%

-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%

0.00/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.13

-100% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -6%

51% Ball Possession 49%

12 Total Shots 9

5 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 3

349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

1.0 Yellow Cards 3.4

Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Serik Belediyespor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor

0W-3D-3L

AWAY Serik Belediyespor

0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67

51% Ball Possession 49%

8 Total Shots 4

3 Shots on Target 2

4 Corners 4

0 Yellow Cards 2

The Meetings

23.09.2023 Serik Belediyespor 0-0 HT 0-0

Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-B

11.12.2022 Karacabey Belediye Spor

1-1 HT 0-0 Serik Belediyespor S2-K

23.12.2020 Serik Belediyespor 2-0 HT 0-0

Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-K

15.05.2019 Karacabey Belediye Spor

2-4 HT 1-3 Serik Belediyespor S3-3P

10.05.2019 Serik Belediyespor 1-0 HT 1-0

Karacabey Belediye Spor S3-3P

24.03.2019 Serik Belediyespor 2-2 HT 0-1

Karacabey Belediye Spor S3-3

Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-2 Serik Belediyespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor

1-2

AWAY Serik Belediyespor

57% Ball Possession 43%

9 Total Shots 12

5 Shots on Target 8

5 Corners 2

1 Yellow Cards 4

POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Serik Belediyespor

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Belediyespor edged past Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Serik Belediyespor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 57% of the ball to Serik Belediyespor's 43%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Serik Belediyespor led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Karacabey Belediye Spor and 1.67 for Serik Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Serik Belediyespor?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-2 Serik Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Serik Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 40%, draw 28%, Serik Belediyespor 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No

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