Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 1-1 Erbaaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 43%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+88% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü
1-1
AWAY Erbaaspor
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü vs Erbaaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü and Erbaaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Erbaaspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü had 49% of the ball to Erbaaspor's 51%, shots finished 6-3.

What was the final score of Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü vs Erbaaspor?

Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 1-1 Erbaaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü vs Erbaaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erbaaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 28%, draw 30%, Erbaaspor 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Erbaaspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erbaaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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