Kasımpaşa 0-0 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 5 Oct 2024

Kasımpaşa
0-0 HT 0-0
Bodrum FK
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Kasımpaşa vs Bodrum FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.14
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 27% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
11%
4.15
X/2
9%
8.42
X/X
12%
4.62
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
12%
6.57
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kasımpaşa v Bodrum FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.63/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.52
-4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.3 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Kasımpaşa 0-0 Bodrum FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
0-0
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.81 xG 0.07
74% Ball Possession 26%
20 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
414 Passes 97
82% Pass Accuracy 51%
31 Box Touches 4
38 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa and Bodrum FK played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Kasımpaşa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 74% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 26%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 0.81 to 0.07.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Bodrum FK?

Kasımpaşa 0-0 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 44%, draw 29%, Bodrum FK 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kasımpaşa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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