Hatayspor 1-1 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 33% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.47
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
16%
6.24
X/2
9%
4.99
X/X
18%
4.36
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
18%
3.25
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.0pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.8pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.17/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.31
+17% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.4 Crosses 15.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
303 Passes 418
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.02.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
25.09.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.01.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
12.08.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
06.05.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
18.12.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
1-1
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.06 xG 1.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
228 Passes 426
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor and Trabzonspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Hatayspor had 39% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 61%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.06 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hatayspor and 1.50 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Trabzonspor?

Hatayspor 1-1 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 34%, draw 32%, Trabzonspor 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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