Nanjing City 1-3 Hebei Kungfu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
20.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 34% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.07/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.82
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 80%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
14.6 Crosses 16.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nanjing City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
208 Passes 201
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2025 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 2-0 HT 1-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
05.10.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-1 HT 1-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
25.05.2024 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 3-1 HT 2-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
16.09.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-1 HT 1-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
11.06.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 0-2 HT 0-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
07.12.2022 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-3 HT 0-2 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nanjing City
1-3
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
1.29 xG 1.64
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
223 Passes 366
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Hebei Kungfu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebei Kungfu saw off Nanjing City 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Hebei Kungfu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nanjing City had 41% of the ball to Hebei Kungfu's 59%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 1.29 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nanjing City and 1.33 for Hebei Kungfu.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Hebei Kungfu?

Nanjing City 1-3 Hebei Kungfu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Hebei Kungfu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nanjing City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 39%, draw 29%, Hebei Kungfu 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nanjing City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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