Hebei Kungfu 3-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.13
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.36 — our 38% vs market 35.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.6pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.8pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.6pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 22%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.92/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/0.74
-15% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.2
25.8 Crosses 13.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebei Kungfu
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Nanjing City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.41 xG 1.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 198
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-1 HT 1-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
11.06.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 0-2 HT 0-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
07.12.2022 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-3 HT 0-2 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
12.11.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebei Kungfu
3-1
AWAY Nanjing City
2.24 xG 1.28
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
179 Passes 337
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hebei Kungfu vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebei Kungfu got the better of Nanjing City 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hebei Kungfu as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hebei Kungfu had 38% of the ball to Nanjing City's 62%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.24 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nanjing City led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hebei Kungfu and 1.50 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Hebei Kungfu vs Nanjing City?

Hebei Kungfu 3-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebei Kungfu vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hebei Kungfu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hebei Kungfu 42%, draw 32%, Nanjing City 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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