Shanghai Jiading 1-2 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.1pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.8pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-16.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 75%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.56/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.97
+3% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -47%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
230 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 534 · 88%
11.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
11.8 Crosses 23.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Jiading
1-2
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
0.50 xG 1.12
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
217 Passes 374
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shanghai Jiading vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun edged past Shanghai Jiading 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shanghai Jiading had 40% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 60%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.50 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Shanghai Jiading vs Yunnan Yukun?

Shanghai Jiading 1-2 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Jiading vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Jiading 20%, draw 26%, Yunnan Yukun 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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