Yanbian Longding 2-1 Jiangxi Beidamen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 20%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.39/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.96
+26% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 71%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
21.6 Crosses 14.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.87 xG 0.54
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
387 Passes 198
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-1 HT 0-1 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
13.05.2023 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 0-2 HT 0-1 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Jiangxi Beidamen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding nicked a narrow win over Jiangxi Beidamen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yanbian Longding as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yanbian Longding had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yanbian Longding and 0.50 for Jiangxi Beidamen.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Yanbian Longding 2-1 Jiangxi Beidamen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 53%, draw 25%, Jiangxi Beidamen 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yanbian Longding) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✗ BTTS No
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