Guangxi Baoyun vs Guangzhou Evergrande Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guangxi Baoyun v Guangzhou Evergrande — Team-Based Signals
Guangxi Baoyun vs Guangzhou Evergrande Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Guangzhou Evergrande
ÇİN2
1-2
HT 0-0
Guangxi Baoyun
ÇİN2
Guangxi Baoyun 3-4 Guangzhou Evergrande — Actual Match Statistics
Guangzhou Evergrande squeezed past Guangxi Baoyun 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Guangxi Baoyun at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guangxi Baoyun had 46% of the ball to Guangzhou Evergrande's 54%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.90 to 0.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured Guangxi Baoyun.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guangxi Baoyun and 0.50 for Guangzhou Evergrande.
What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Guangzhou Evergrande?
Guangxi Baoyun 3-4 Guangzhou Evergrande in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Guangzhou Evergrande?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 45%, draw 33%, Guangzhou Evergrande 22%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.