Nanjing City 1-1 Hebei Kungfu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.08
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.35/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.94
-14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +78%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
15.1 Crosses 16.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nanjing City
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
245 Passes 242
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2024 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 3-1 HT 2-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
16.09.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-1 HT 1-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
11.06.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 0-2 HT 0-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
07.12.2022 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-3 HT 0-2 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
12.11.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nanjing City
1-1
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.24 xG 0.46
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
104 Passes 143
62% Pass Accuracy 66%
11 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Hebei Kungfu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nanjing City and Hebei Kungfu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nanjing City had 47% of the ball to Hebei Kungfu's 53%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.24 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nanjing City had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Nanjing City and 1.00 for Hebei Kungfu.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Hebei Kungfu?

Nanjing City 1-1 Hebei Kungfu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Hebei Kungfu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nanjing City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 37%, draw 30%, Hebei Kungfu 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nanjing City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nanjing City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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