Shanghai Port II 1-2 Shaanxi Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-6.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.9pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Shaanxi Union EU Bookmakers 55%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shaanxi Union
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 1.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
196 Passes 353
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Shaanxi Union Shaanxi Union 1-2 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port II Shanghai Port II ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port II
1-2
AWAY Shaanxi Union
0.98 xG 0.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
228 Passes 357
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port II vs Shaanxi Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shaanxi Union squeezed past Shanghai Port II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shaanxi Union as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shanghai Port II had 42% of the ball to Shaanxi Union's 58%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.98 to 0.59.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port II vs Shaanxi Union?

Shanghai Port II 1-2 Shaanxi Union in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port II vs Shaanxi Union?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shaanxi Union win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port II 31%, draw 25%, Shaanxi Union 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shaanxi Union) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shaanxi Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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