Shandong Taishan II 3-0 Hunan Billows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hunan Billows EU Bookmakers 43%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.58/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.53
-9% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
261 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
13.0 Crosses 16.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hunan Billows
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.59 xG 1.77
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
184 Passes 218
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Hunan Billows Hunan Billows 3-1 HT 2-0 Shandong Taishan II Shandong Taishan II ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan II
3-0
AWAY Hunan Billows
1.44 xG 0.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
209 Passes 290
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan II vs Hunan Billows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan II swept aside Hunan Billows 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Shandong Taishan II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Shandong Taishan II had 44% of the ball to Hunan Billows's 56%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.44 to 0.36.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan II vs Hunan Billows?

Shandong Taishan II 3-0 Hunan Billows in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan II vs Hunan Billows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan II 36%, draw 28%, Hunan Billows 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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