Wuxi Wugou 1-2 Liaoning Shenyang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.64
6+ Goals
7%
14.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.64 — our 27% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.1pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-9.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 53%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.16/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.99
+15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.5 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuxi Wugou
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.45 xG 1.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
216 Passes 240
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-0 HT 0-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
15.10.2023 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 1-1 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
28.06.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 1-0 HT 0-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuxi Wugou
1-2
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
0.44 xG 1.31
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
308 Passes 269
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wuxi Wugou vs Liaoning Shenyang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang edged past Wuxi Wugou 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 40%) promised a tight game; Liaoning Shenyang found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wuxi Wugou had 53% of the ball to Liaoning Shenyang's 47%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.44 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Liaoning Shenyang led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Wuxi Wugou and 0.67 for Liaoning Shenyang.

What was the final score of Wuxi Wugou vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Wuxi Wugou 1-2 Liaoning Shenyang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuxi Wugou vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wuxi Wugou 29%, draw 32%, Liaoning Shenyang 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
5 Oct 2024
10:00 Shanghai Port II vs Shaanxi Union Analysis →
10:00 Langfang Glory City vs Guangxi Hengchen Analysis →
10:30 Shandong Taishan II vs Hunan Billows Analysis →
11:00 Hainan Star vs Hubei Istar Analysis →
12:30 Ganzhou Ruishi vs Taian Tiankuang Analysis →
14:30 Nanjing City vs Hebei Kungfu Analysis →