Ganzhou Ruishi 3-1 Taian Tiankuang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-7.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ganzhou Ruishi EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Taian Tiankuang EU Bookmakers 21%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.67/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.45
-10% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
13.5 Crosses 14.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ganzhou Ruishi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Taian Tiankuang
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.92 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
354 Passes 274
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Taian Tiankuang Taian Tiankuang 1-3 HT 0-1 Ganzhou Ruishi Ganzhou Ruishi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ganzhou Ruishi
3-1
AWAY Taian Tiankuang
1.16 xG 0.26
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
450 Passes 301
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ganzhou Ruishi vs Taian Tiankuang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ganzhou Ruishi beat Taian Tiankuang 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ganzhou Ruishi as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ganzhou Ruishi had 58% of the ball to Taian Tiankuang's 42%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.16 to 0.26.

What was the final score of Ganzhou Ruishi vs Taian Tiankuang?

Ganzhou Ruishi 3-1 Taian Tiankuang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ganzhou Ruishi vs Taian Tiankuang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ganzhou Ruishi win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ganzhou Ruishi 53%, draw 24%, Taian Tiankuang 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ganzhou Ruishi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ganzhou Ruishi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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