Langfang Glory City 1-0 Guangxi Hengchen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Langfang Glory City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 31%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.40/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.78
+46% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
11.5 Crosses 8.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Langfang Glory City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.30 xG 0.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 231
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 18
01.09.2024 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen 1-0 HT 0-0 Langfang Glory City Langfang Glory City ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Langfang Glory City
1-0
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen
0.81 xG 0.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 247
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Langfang Glory City vs Guangxi Hengchen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Langfang Glory City edged past Guangxi Hengchen 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Langfang Glory City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Langfang Glory City had 52% of the ball to Guangxi Hengchen's 48%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.81 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Langfang Glory City vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Langfang Glory City 1-0 Guangxi Hengchen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Langfang Glory City vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Langfang Glory City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Langfang Glory City 41%, draw 26%, Guangxi Hengchen 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Langfang Glory City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Langfang Glory City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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