Hainan Star 2-1 Hubei Istar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
23%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
41%
+5.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
31%
-8.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hubei Istar EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.20/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/0.56
+57% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
17.5 Crosses 9.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hainan Star
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hubei Istar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 1.47
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
101 Passes 378
57% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Hubei Istar Hubei Istar 1-1 HT 0-1 Hainan Star Hainan Star ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hainan Star
2-1
AWAY Hubei Istar
1.30 xG 0.57
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
94 Passes 309
52% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 5
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hainan Star vs Hubei Istar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hainan Star nicked a narrow win over Hubei Istar 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hainan Star as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hainan Star had 33% of the ball to Hubei Istar's 67%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.30 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Hainan Star vs Hubei Istar?

Hainan Star 2-1 Hubei Istar in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hainan Star vs Hubei Istar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hainan Star win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hainan Star 46%, draw 30%, Hubei Istar 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hainan Star) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hainan Star) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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