FC Fastav Zlin 1-1 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.51/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.21
-1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
20.0 Crosses 24.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fastav Zlin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.01 xG 0.84
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 370
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 0-1 HT 0-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
01.11.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEKK
23.09.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 5-1 HT 1-1 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
24.05.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
29.01.2023 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 1-1 HT 0-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
13.08.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 3-1 HT 3-0 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fastav Zlin
1-1
AWAY Banik Ostrava
2.81 xG 0.58
39% Ball Possession 61%
19 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
226 Passes 381
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Fastav Zlin vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fastav Zlin and Banik Ostrava couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Fastav Zlin had 39% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 61%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.81 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Fastav Zlin and 1.83 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of FC Fastav Zlin vs Banik Ostrava?

FC Fastav Zlin 1-1 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fastav Zlin vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fastav Zlin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Fastav Zlin 40%, draw 27%, Banik Ostrava 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Fastav Zlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Fastav Zlin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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