Sparta Prag 1-1 Slavia Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-7.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.50/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.69
+8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 68%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
16.0 Crosses 16.7
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Slavia Prag
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 0.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
266 Passes 246
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
10.05.2025 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
08.03.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
06.10.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-1 HT 2-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
11.05.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
03.03.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
28.02.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-3 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
1-1
AWAY Slavia Prag
1.51 xG 0.39
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
339 Passes 128
82% Pass Accuracy 59%
35 Box Touches 15
37 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Slavia Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag and Slavia Prag shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 67% of the ball to Slavia Prag's 33%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.51 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.00 for Slavia Prag.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Slavia Prag?

Sparta Prag 1-1 Slavia Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Slavia Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 35%, draw 29%, Slavia Prag 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slavia Prag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ BTTS Yes
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