Viktoria Plzen 3-3 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
13%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-1.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.81/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.79
+6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.6 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 0.56
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
342 Passes 217
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
28.07.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
25.11.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
30.07.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-1 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
28.01.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-2 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
13.08.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-2 HT 1-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
3-3
AWAY Hradec Kralove
2.90 xG 0.81
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
442 Passes 224
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen and Hradec Kralove shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Viktoria Plzen carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 63% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 37%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.90 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 0.83 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Hradec Kralove?

Viktoria Plzen 3-3 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 62%, draw 21%, Hradec Kralove 17%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ BTTS Yes
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