Sigma Olomouc 2-0 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.5
2-3 Goals
34%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.26
6+ Goals
12%
22.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.26 — our 24% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.5pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.28/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.07
+12% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
263 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 72%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
24.1 Crosses 20.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Jablonec
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.45 xG 1.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
199 Passes 337
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Jablonec Jablonec 4-0 HT 2-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
29.03.2025 Jablonec Jablonec 0-0 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
26.10.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.04.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
04.11.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
26.04.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 2-2 HT 2-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
2-0
AWAY Jablonec
0.72 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
293 Passes 386
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc got the better of Jablonec 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sigma Olomouc found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 45% of the ball to Jablonec's 55%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.72 to 1.23 — on chances, Jablonec could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.17 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Jablonec?

Sigma Olomouc 2-0 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sigma Olomouc win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 38%, draw 27%, Jablonec 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sigma Olomouc) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sigma Olomouc) ✗ BTTS Yes
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