Wolverhampton 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
5.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.0
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
15%
7.34
X/2
19%
5.01
X/X
14%
4.9
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
19%
2.83
2/X
6%
12.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.24/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.18
+0% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +35%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
20.2 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.32 xG 1.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
331 Passes 498
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-2 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
26.10.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-2 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
18.09.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 HT 2-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNLK
28.02.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion FAK
22.01.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
19.08.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-4 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
1-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
0.55 xG 0.92
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
270 Passes 427
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton and Brighton & Hove Albion shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Brighton & Hove Albion at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 42% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 58%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.55 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.83 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Wolverhampton 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 29%, draw 25%, Brighton & Hove Albion 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✓ BTTS Yes
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