Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle United v Nottingham Forest — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Newcastle United
İNLK
1-3
HT 1-1
Nottingham Forest
İNP
1-2
HT 1-1
Newcastle United
İNP
Newcastle United 2-0 Nottingham Forest — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle United beat Nottingham Forest 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newcastle United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Newcastle United had 51% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 49%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 3.45 to 0.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Newcastle United and 1.83 for Nottingham Forest.
What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest?
Newcastle United 2-0 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 57%, draw 19%, Nottingham Forest 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.