Everton vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Everton v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals
Everton vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Everton
İNP
Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics
Everton edged past Crystal Palace 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Everton made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Everton had 50% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 50%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.03 to 1.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Everton and 0.83 for Crystal Palace.
What was the final score of Everton vs Crystal Palace?
Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Everton vs Crystal Palace?
Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Everton 38%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Everton) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.