Crystal Palace 1-2 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.78
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
18%
4.38
X/2
7%
7.7
X/X
14%
3.76
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
10%
6.61
2/X
10%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.46/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.47
-2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
18.9 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Everton
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.92 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 Passes 287
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Everton Everton 2-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
19.02.2024 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
17.01.2024 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace FAK
04.01.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton FAK
11.11.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-3 HT 1-1 Everton Everton İNP
22.04.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
1-2
AWAY Everton
1.66 xG 0.96
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
401 Passes 264
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton edged past Crystal Palace 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Crystal Palace at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 58% of the ball to Everton's 42%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.66 to 0.96 — the balance of chances actually favoured Crystal Palace.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.17 for Everton.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Everton?

Crystal Palace 1-2 Everton in the England - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 47%, draw 28%, Everton 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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