Southampton vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southampton v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Southampton vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
Bournemouth
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Bournemouth
İNP
0-1
HT 0-1
Southampton
İNP
0-3
HT 0-2
Southampton
FAK
0-2
HT 0-1
Southampton
İNP
Southampton 1-3 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Bournemouth beat Southampton 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bournemouth as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Southampton had 45% of the ball to Bournemouth's 55%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.79 to 1.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Southampton and 1.17 for Bournemouth.
What was the final score of Southampton vs Bournemouth?
Southampton 1-3 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southampton vs Bournemouth?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Southampton 25%, draw 20%, Bournemouth 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.