Leicester City 0-2 Arsenal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.18
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
15.0
1/2
7%
23.0
1/X
5%
23.85
X/1
9%
16.75
X/2
15%
3.68
X/X
11%
6.8
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.58
2/X
7%
20.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
11%
+12.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.7pp
54%
Away Win
71%
-16.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
0.85/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.78
-31% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +23%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 516 · 84%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.2
13.1 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Arsenal
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.47 xG 2.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
354 Passes 430
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Arsenal Arsenal 4-2 HT 2-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
25.02.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
13.08.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 4-2 HT 2-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
13.03.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 2-0 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
30.10.2021 Leicester City Leicester City 0-2 HT 0-2 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
28.02.2021 Leicester City Leicester City 1-3 HT 1-2 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
0-2
AWAY Arsenal
0.22 xG 1.38
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
230 Passes 420
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs Arsenal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal saw off Leicester City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leicester City had 40% of the ball to Arsenal's 60%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.22 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Leicester City and 2.67 for Arsenal.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs Arsenal?

Leicester City 0-2 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Arsenal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 23%, draw 23%, Arsenal 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
15 Feb 2025
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