Aston Villa 1-1 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
7.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.71
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.8
X/1
16%
4.0
X/2
7%
13.5
X/X
8%
7.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.9
2/2
8%
10.65
2/X
7%
19.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.9 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.0pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.11/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.60
+19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -2%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.8 Crosses 12.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.63 xG 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
369 Passes 260
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
26.01.2019 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-1 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
18.08.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNCL
21.04.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-4 HT 0-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNCL
25.11.2017 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
11.02.2017 Aston Villa Aston Villa 0-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa
1-1
AWAY Ipswich Town
2.42 xG 0.37
76% Ball Possession 24%
25 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
16 Corners 1
603 Passes 160
91% Pass Accuracy 73%
47 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa and Ipswich Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aston Villa at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aston Villa had 76% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 24%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 2.42 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aston Villa and 0.83 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town?

Aston Villa 1-1 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 59%, draw 20%, Ipswich Town 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✗ Over 2.5
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