Erzgebirge Aue 2-2 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2025

Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 2 HT 2 - 1
Rot-Weiss Essen
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Erzgebirge Aue vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.1
Over
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.54
No
40%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.14
2-3
45%
1.89
4-5
26%
3.12
6+
8%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.34
1/2
3%
23.55
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
11%
6.57
X/2
14%
5.25
X/X
15%
5.3
2/1
3%
28.5
2/2
24%
3.07
2/X
5%
12.85
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Erzgebirge Aue v Rot-Weiss Essen — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Erzgebirge Aue The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen The Market 46%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.24 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.80
1.42 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Bad
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2

Erzgebirge Aue vs Rot-Weiss Essen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
332 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2025 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 4-2 HT 2-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
10.11.2024 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
19.01.2024 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
20.08.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 1-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
11.03.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
02.09.2022 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3

Erzgebirge Aue 2-2 Rot-Weiss Essen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 2
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
292 Passes 358
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Erzgebirge Aue vs Rot-Weiss Essen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Erzgebirge Aue and Rot-Weiss Essen finished all square at 2-2. From 2-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

We leaned Rot-Weiss Essen at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Erzgebirge Aue had 44% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 56%, shots finished 10-20.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzgebirge Aue had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.67 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

Erzgebirge Aue vs Rot-Weiss Essen Result & Final Score

Erzgebirge Aue 2 - 2 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Erzgebirge Aue vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 32%, draw 26%, Rot-Weiss Essen 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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